2020 International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation
July 14-17, 2020, Lehman Auditorium, George Washington University, Washington DC, USA

Challenge 1 - Opioids

Overview

Opioids are a class of drugs that include illegal drugs (heroin), synthetic drug (e.g. fentanyl), and many pain relievers (e.g Vicodin®). These drugs are chemically related and interact with the opioid receptors on nerve cells in the body and brain.

The US is facing an opioid crisis. Deaths from opioids are increasing. Opioid abuse is a serious public health issue. Today, overdose deaths are the leading cause of injury deaths in the US.

Tempe, AZ, has provided data on Probability-Normalized Mass Load of opioids in the wastewater in the hopes that one may be able to use these data to infer opioid use patterns. Researchers with Arizona State University go at randomized times to 15 places in the city where they have access to wastewater. The locations of the testing are also randomized.Those researchers collect samples, taking them back to be processed for traces of materials with opioids. It is also continually updated, so you will need to state when the data was pulled. In parallel, they have released data on EMS calls for probable opioid abuse. Both of these datasets are supposed to reflect underlying opioid abuse patterns.

Cincinnati has also released EMS calls for a single Opiod – Heroin - Cincinnati Heroin overdose data. This data is comprised of the Cincinnati Fire Department responses to reported heroin overdose incidents, and does not include patient information or medical outcome data. It is continually updated, so you will need to state when the data was pulled. Geo-spatial information is provided.

Challenge Committee

  • Kathleen M. Carley
  • Ayaz Hyder

Submit Questions Regarding Challenge

All questions and concerns can be sent to sbp-brims@andrew.cmu.edu

Some useful references:

Compton, Wilson M., and Nora D. Volkow. "Major increases in opioid analgesic abuse in the United States: concerns and strategies." Drug & Alcohol Dependence 81, no. 2 (2006): 103-107.

Rudd, Rose A., Noah Aleshire, Jon E. Zibbell, and R. Matthew Gladden. "Increases in drug and opioid overdose deaths—United States, 2000–2014." American Journal of Transplantation 16, no. 4 (2016): 1323-1327.

Burke, D. S. (2016). Forecasting the opioid epidemic. Science, 354, 529-529.

Dasgupta, N., Beletsky, L., & Ciccarone, D. (2018). Opioid Crisis: No Easy Fix to Its Social and Economic Determinants. American journal of public health, 108(2), 182-186.

Kolodny, A., Courtwright, D. T., Hwang, C. S., Kreiner, P., Eadie, J. L., Clark, T. W., & Alexander, G. C. (2015). The prescription opioid and heroin crisis: a public health approach to an epidemic of addiction. Annual review of public health, 36, 559-574.

Winstanley, E. L., Clark, A., Feinberg, J., & Wilder, C. M. (2016). Barriers to implementation of opioid overdose prevention programs in Ohio. Substance abuse, 37(1), 42-46.